Red Bluff Daily News

November 06, 2012

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Tuesday, November 6, 2012 – Daily News Election Day: Time for voters to have their say By David Lightman McClatchy Newspapers WASHINGTON — After billions of dollars, hours of debates and frantic last-minute pitches from the candidates, it's up to the vot- ers today to decide whether to give President Barack Obama a second term or change course with Repub- lican Mitt Romney. Also at stake is control of Congress. Thirty-three Sen- ate seats and all 435 House of Representatives seats are up this year, and while the House is expected to remain in Republican hands, Senate control hinges on a host of tight races. Turnout will be one key to handicapping who's win- ning the White House and congressional battles, head- ing a long list of unknowns. Will the relentlessly nega- tive campaign help or hurt? Did superstorm Sandy ben- efit the president? Did early voting give him a big advan- tage? 3B four years of registering new voters in hopes of har- nessing growing Latino clout and finally shattering the reputation that Latinos are apathetic voters who can be ignored. In 2008, 50 per- cent of eligible Latino vot- ers cast ballots, compared with 65 percent of blacks and 66 percent of whites, according to the Pew His- panic Center. Once the polls close starting at 6 p.m. EST in Indiana and Kentucky, a number of early clues will signal whether Obama or Romney will get the 270 electoral votes needed to win. Polls on Monday con- tinued to show the race a virtual tie nationally and in most of the 11 battleground states. The first hints of how the night might go will come in four early poll-closing states: Virginia, North Car- olina, New Hampshire and Indiana. Obama won all four in 2008. Romney needs all four if he's to become the sixth per- son in 100 years to defeat a sitting president. Should he falter in even one, or the results become too close to call, this race won't be over quickly. Obama, on the other hand, can score an impor- tant win early by taking Florida. Losing its 29 elec- toral votes would be a huge blow to Romney, who has pushed hard for the state's votes and began his last full campaign day Monday in Orlando. "Tomorrow we begin a better tomorrow," Romney told about 1,000 supporters, stressing his closing argu- ment that Obama bungled the economy and is too fierce a partisan to work with Republicans. The president was in Madison, Wis., where he appeared with legendary rocker Bruce Springsteen. The National Associa- tion of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials esti- mates that 12 million Latino voters will visit the polls in this year's election, which would be a 26 percent increase from 2008. More than 3 million Latinos are expected to vote in their first presidential election. A big turnout could mean the dif- ference in Colorado, Neva- da and perhaps Arizona. Long lines. Polls might stay open past closing time, delaying the vote count. But if lines are too long and peo- ple get discouraged, they might go home. Hurricane Sandy. Will "I stood with President Obama four years ago, and I'm proud to stand with him today," Springsteen said. Obama hugged the singer and reminded the crowd, "We've got more change to make." Turnout was expected to be down somewhat from 2004 and 2008, according to models developed by the Gallup Organization. Voters "have not been quite as engaged" in the election, a Gallup analysis said, and many voters could be dis- tracted by Sandy, whose impact is still being felt in parts of the Northeast. As the night unfolds, here's how to watch the returns: Most states are solidly for Obama or Romney, so 11 are likely to decide the race. All have polling places scheduled to close by 10 p.m. EST. All went for Obama last time, and he has to hold on to most of them to win again. THE STATES has won the White House without the state. North Carolina is another state Obama won in 2008, the first time a Democrat had taken it in decades, but Romney is counting on winning its 15 electoral votes. If not, he's probably in trouble. 8 p.m. EST: New Hamp- shire, Florida, Pennsylva- nia. If Obama wins Florida, Romney's chances would get shakier. But if Romney wins Pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes, which Obama has regarded for months as his, the president should start worrying. The four electoral votes of New Hampshire — Democratic in the last two elections — matter if the race stays close. be a signal that Obama is doing well. Iowa is another tossup. 9 p.m. EST: Wisconsin, Colorado, Michigan. A Romney win in Michigan — a state Obama won last time by 16 percentage points _ would be another sign that the president is fal- tering. 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