Issue link: https://www.epageflip.net/i/735672
ByJuliePaceandHope Yen TheAssociatedPress WASHINGTON Each night, Hillary Clinton's data ex- perts head to a conference room on the 11th floor of her Brooklyn headquarters, to start counting votes. The sessions in the "early voter boiler room," as it's been dubbed by campaign aides, stretch into the early hours of the morning. The team pores over turnout patterns in states where ad- vance voting is already un- derway, projects how many votes Clinton and Republi- can Donald Trump have al- ready received, and updates crucial targeting lists of the voters she still needs. For Clinton, October is when she's likely to win or lose the election, not Nov. 8. By the third week of this month, Clinton's campaign hopes to have a solid enough sample of the early vote to know whether the Democrat is on track to win the White House. "Many battleground states are already voting so every day is Election Day," said Matt Dover, Clinton's voter analytics director. In several competitive states, including North Car- olina, Iowa, Colorado, Flor- ida and Nevada, at least 45 percent of the total vote is expected to come in early. Initial metrics show good news for Clinton in North Carolina, a must-win state for Trump. There are mod- estly positive signs for the Republican in Iowa, but that's a state the Democrat can likely afford to lose. The Republican National Committee, which over- sees early voting and turn- out operations for Trump, is also encouraging supporters to take advantage of oppor- tunities to cast ballots be- fore Nov. 8. The party has significantly stepped up its analytics and voter target- ing operations since being outmatched by Democrats in the past two presidential elections,butthe2016raceis thefirsttestofitsstrengthin a national election. Despite improvements, the RNC system was always intended to be a comple- ment towhateveroperations the eventual GOP nominee brought to the table. Trump arrived in the general elec- tion with intense enthusi- asmamonghiscoresupport- ers but few ways to harness it into trackable voter data. Unlike Clinton, whose travel schedule is being built around voter registra- tion deadlines and the start of early voting in key states, Trump's battleground stops haven'tbeenpeggedtothose benchmarks.However,there is a noticeably more robust registration effort at Trump rallies and the candidate himself is making explicit early voting appeals to sup- porters. "Get those ballots in be- cause the only way this is going to be taken away (is) if we're foolish or if we let people take it away from us," Trump said Monday dur- ing a rally in Colorado. "I hate to interrupt my speech with these minor details but they're very important, right?" Republicans tradi- tionally dowellinitiallywith mail-in absentee balloting before Democrats surpass them during in-person early voting. That makes the start of in-person voting a key in- dicator as to whether core Democratic constituencies, such as young people and non-whites, show up. "For me, voting early is a matter of convenience, and if I don't do it I'm unlikely to vote at all," said Joseph Woz- niak, 23, of Macon, Georgia. A recent college graduate who declined to say who he is supporting in the election, Wozniak is working on early vote efforts for the non-par- tisan organization Democ- racy Works. Thirty-seven states allow voting with little restriction before Election Day, either in person or via mail. By the third week in October, 34 of those states will be voting. Iowa was the first of the battlegrounds to start in- person voting last Thursday. Of the 39,435 people who have cast ballots, 58 percent were Democrats and 25 per- centwereRepublicans—but thatwasmuchcloserthanin 2012. InNorthCarolina,buoyed by strong voter interest, Clinton appears to hold an edge with Democratic bal- lots submitted so far cur- rently leading Republican ones, 40 to 35 percent. At this point in 2012, Republi- cans had opened a wide lead over Democrats in ballots, dueinparttostrongsupport among older whites. For 2016, Clinton officials pointed in particular to a 13 percent increase in African- American and a 40 percent jump in Latino mail-in bal- lot requests. To them, it's a hopefulsignthatnon-whites and young people will be en- gaged this election, part of a shiftincampaignstrategyto more strongly mobilize less reliable,sporadicvotersfirst. 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