Red Bluff Daily News

March 11, 2017

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ByJoshFunk The Associated Press OMAHA,NEB. Investingan- other $54 billion in the U.S. military won't do much for the overall economy. President Donald Trump last week proposed a 10 per- cent increase in defense spending. The extra money will certainly be felt in the communities surrounding shipyards like the one in Virginia Trump visited to tout his military buildup. But it only equates to 0.2 percent of gross domestic product. And significant cuts in other programs, including foreign aid and diplomacy, may be required to pay for the defense increase. "If it's at the cost of pre- ventative measures, that's not going to help our econ- omy or our security," said Constance Hunter, chief economist at accounting firm KPMG. Granted, Trump pro- posed the increase more as a way to strengthen Amer- ica's military than to cre- ate jobs. The impact on the econ- omy will depend on how Trump spends the $54 bil- lion, experts say. During the campaign, Trump often said the mil- itary is too small to accom- plish its missions, and he pledged to increase the Na- vy's active fleet to 350 ships. Current plans call for ex- panding the Navy to 308 ships from the current 272. The impact of recruiting more soldiers and paying for their training and wages would be different than the impact of ordering more naval ships or F-35 fighter jets. Investing more in pro- ducing ships and jets would likely produce fewer jobs. And a large portion of this increase could be spent internally at the defense de- partment. "I would expect that much of the increase of the defense budget we're talk- ing about would be con- sumed internally by the Defense Department," said Todd Harrison, who ana- lyzes defense spending for the Center for Strategic & International Studies. With so much of the U.S. economy dependent on con- sumer spending, defense spending doesn't make a significant impact, said Fordham University econ- omist Giacomo Santangelo. "If his intention is eco- nomic growth, he shouldn't be talking about defense spending. If he wants to talk about defense, he should talk about our defense needs," Santangelo said. To pay for the increase in defense spending, Trump has proposed $54 billion in cuts to foreign aid and do- mestic agencies such as the Environmental Protection Agency. Those cuts are likely to drawstrongoppositionfrom Democrats in Congress, and the plan has been criticized by some Republicans who questionTrump'sdecisionto exempt Social Security and Medicare from cuts. "This is really a non- starter," said Richard Im- merman, a Temple Univer- sity professor who worked for the Office of the Director ofNationalIntelligencefrom 2007 to 2009 under former President George W. Bush. Trump's proposals to boost military spending and cut taxes may remind some of former President Ronald Reagan's approach, but this proposed spending would still be well below the relative level Reagan spend during the arms race with the Soviet Union. If approved, the $54 bil- lion increase in spending would mean the country was spending 3.4 percent of its Gross Domestic Product on defense. That would be up from 3.2 percent of GDP last year. During the 1980s, Rea- gan's defense spending reached 6 percent of GDP and accounted for as much as 28 percent of the federal budget. Reagan's Cold War military buildup and tax cuts bolstered employment among defense contractors. "In a lot of ways, I think Trump is following the Rea- gan model," said Howard Stoffer, a professor at the University of New Haven who worked at the State De- partment for 25 years. "But Congress is going to be un- likely to give him a $54 bil- lion increase." While military commu- nities and economists wait to see how the spending drama plays out, Wall Street is already picking winners. Since Trump was elected the S&P defense and aero- space sector has gained 17.4 percent, which is well above the overall 11.6 percent gains the S&P 500 recorded during the same time. SPENDING Proposed $54B jump in defense budget won't help economy much PABLOMARTINEZMONSIVAIS—THEASSOCIATEDPRESSFILE President Donald Trump gives a thumbs-up a er speaking to Navy and shipyard personnel aboard the nuclear aircra carrier Gerald R. Ford at Newport News Shipbuilding, By Anthony Izaguirre The Associated Press BIRMINGHAM, ALA. Briar- wood Presbyterian Church already has more than 4,000 members, two pri- vate schools and its own radio station. And if ad- ministrators have their way, the wealthy congrega- tion could soon add some- thing that no other Amer- ican church has: its own police force. With a membership larger than many small towns, Briarwood has asked the state Legislature for permission to set up a private law enforcement department to watch over its flock and schools. The bill comes at a time when places of worship around the country are stepping up security, but a church- only police force raises constitutional questions that are ripe for a legal challenge. And opponents worry crimes could be cov- ered up by the church. Experts believe a church with its own police depart- ment would be unprece- dented in the U.S. "I've never even heard of this," said Heath Grant, an assistant professor at John Jay College of Crim- inal Justice in New York City. "From the perspec- tive of security, churches usually have relationships with the local police de- partments. I don't know why that wouldn't be suf- ficient." The Birmingham church hires off-duty police offi- cers from nearby jurisdic- tions to cover its events, but it says there often are not enough officers avail- able to help. Church of- ficials also worry about mass shootings, such as the attacks at Sandy Hook Elementary in Connecti- cut and the Emanuel Af- rican Methodist Episcopal Church in South Carolina. The bill was introduced by Republican Rep. Ar- nold Mooney, whose wife and daughter work at Bri- arwood Christian School. All three of his children graduated from Briarwood schools. "Officer presence is the No. 1 line of defense," he said in an email. Twenty-one of Mooney's colleagues in the Republi- can-controlled House sup- port his bill, which passed the Legislature last year but was not signed into law by Gov. Robert Bent- ley. The governor did not give a reason for not act- ing on the proposal in 2016 and has given no indica- tion what he will do this year. Debate in the House is expected before the ses- sion ends in May. In Alabama, a state where religion permeates nearly every aspect of so- cial and political life, Bri- arwood's presence looms large. In addition to the huge membership and the radio station, the church's schools have nearly 2,000 students from kindergar- ten through 12th grade. Their teams, particularly football, soccer and ten- nis, are known for athletic success. Briarwood also sends missionaries abroad to Asia, Africa and Latin America. Opponents of the bill worry that forming a church-only police depart- ment may lead to crimes being covered up. There are also doubts about the department's potential power, how closely it would work with neighboring po- lice and who it would ulti- mately answer to. "It's making the church take the role of the gov- ernment," said Richard E. Levy, a constitutional law professor at Kansas Uni- versity. "I would expect that if the law is enacted it would not be very long before it is challenged." 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SATURDAY, MARCH 11, 2017 REDBLUFFDAILYNEWS.COM | NEWS | 3 B

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