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JANUARY 6-12, 2010 UCW 13
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Associated Press reporter Gary Robertson
recently offered an interesting take on the
Democratic fi eld in this year's U.S. Senate race
in North Carolina. It's made up, he wrote, of
candidates looking for second chances.
Secretary of State Elaine
Marshall sought the Democratic
nod for Senate once before, in
2002. She lost to former Clinton
White House Chief of Staff
Erskine Bowles, who went on to
lose to Elizabeth Dole and then
lost two years later to the man
Marshall now wants to challenge,
Richard Burr.
As for another Democratic hopeful, attorney Ken
Lewis, the second chance isn't so much a personal one
as one for a cause. Back in the 1990s, Lewis helped
with Harvey Gantt's failed challenge to the late Sen.
Jesse Helms.
Now, as a candidate himself, Lewis wants another
chance to elect North Carolina's fi rst black Democrat
in the U.S. Senate.
Robertson also noted that former state Sen. Cal
Cunningham passed on the 2010 race just a few
weeks ago, then changed his mind. But I think a better
description of Cunningham's second chance is that his
fi rst effort at launching a political career fi zzled after a
single term in the state senate.
Spotted by party leaders as a potential Democratic
star while he was student body president at UNC-
Chapel Hill back in the 1990s, Cunningham won
a Davidson County-based seat in 2000 but saw it
redrawn into an unfavorable district for the 2002
election. He wisely chose not to run again, joining the
U.S. Army Reserve the same year and going on to serve
with distinction as an army prosecutor in Iraq.
While I appreciate the second-
chances theme, I think the most
likely outcome in 2010 is that all of
these Democratic candidates will
be left hoping for a third chance.
While Richard Burr is a relatively
unknown freshman senator, he
brings little baggage into the
race. He's not unpopular, just
unknown. That means he still has
the opportunity and the means to defi ne himself for the
electorate in the coming months.
Overall, the environment doesn't appear to
be favorable to the Democratic challengers. The
political winds could certainly shift, but right
now they're blowing Republican. Given a host of
endangered Democratic incumbents and seats
around the country, national party leaders will be
directly most of their energies and funds elsewhere
saving Senate leader Harry Reid and longtime Sen.
Chris Dodd, for example.
Still, you can understand why each of the
Democratic candidates is running. There's little to lose,
and possibly a lot to gain.
Marshall can run without having to give up her
job as secretary of state. As a female candidate who has
won four statewide elections, she's got to be considered
the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination. If
she goes on to lose in November, few will blame her.
If lightning strikes and she wins, she'll probably be a
Democratic hero in an adverse political cycle.
As for Cunningham and Lewis, they are ambitious
politicians who need to introduce themselves to the
statewide electorate. Again, few would blame either for
losing to Burr in the fall should he wrest the nomination
from Marshall. And a primary loss won't kill either
man's chances to run for another offi ce later on in a
more favorable climate.
Perhaps the greatest opportunity to make political
history here belongs to Richard Burr. Remember that
the seat he holds has turned over every six years since
Sam Ervin gave it up in 1974. Robert Morgan kept it
for the Democrats that year. John East took it for the
Republicans in 1980. Former Democratic Gov. Terry
Sanford won it in 1986, then lost it to Republican
Lauch Faircloth in 1992. The Breck Girl came along
in 1998, made various messes, and then vacated it for
Burr in 2004.
With Elizabeth Dole having lost Helms' old
seat after a single term, Burr has a shot at creating
the fi rst lengthy Senate career since the retirement
of North Carolina's two conservative powerhouses,
Ervin and Helms.
No pressure, senator, no pressure.
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Drawing a Chance Card
by JOHN HOOD
JOHN HOOD, Columnist.
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